Clinicodemographic profile and predictors of poor outcome in hospitalised COVID-19 patients: a single-centre, retrospective cohort study from India.

OBJECTIVES: Primary objective was to study the clinicodemographic profile of hospitalised COVID-19 patients at a tertiary-care centre in India. Secondary objective was to identify predictors of poor outcome. SETTING: Single centre tertiary-care level. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Consecutively hospitalised adults patients with COVID-19. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcome variable was in-hospital mortality. Covariables were known comorbidities, clinical features, vital signs at the time of admission and on days 3-5 of admission, and initial laboratory investigations. RESULTS: Intergroup differences were tested using χ2 or Fischer's exact tests, Student's t-test or Mann-Whitney U test. Predictors of mortality were evaluated using multivariate logistic regression model. Out of 4102 SARS-CoV-2 positive patients admitted during 1-year period, 3268 (79.66%) survived to discharge and 834 (20.33%) died in the hospital. Mortality rates increased with age. Death was more common among males (OR 1.51, 95% CI 1.25 to 1.81). Out of 261 cases analysed in detail, 55.1% were in mild, 32.5% in moderate and 12.2% in severe triage category. Most common clinical presentations in the subgroup were fever (73.2%), cough/coryza (65.5%) and breathlessness (54%). Hypertension (45.2%), diabetes mellitus (41.8%) and chronic kidney disease (CKD; 6.1%) were common comorbidities. Disease severity on admission (adjusted OR 12.53, 95% CI 4.92 to 31.91, p<0.01), coagulation defect (33.21, 3.85-302.1, p<0.01), CKD (5.67, 1.08-29.64, p=0.04), high urea (11.05, 3.9-31.02, p<0.01), high prothrombin time (3.91, 1.59-9.65, p<0.01) and elevated ferritin (1.02, 1.00-1.03, p=0.02) were associated with poor outcome on multivariate regression. A strong predictor of mortality was disease progression on days 3-5 of admission (adjusted OR 13.66 95% CI 3.47 to 53.68). CONCLUSION: COVID-19 related mortality in hospitalised adult patients at our center was similar to the developed countries. Progression in disease severity on days 3-5 of admission or days 6-13 of illness onset acts as 'turning point' for timely referral or treatment intensification for optimum use of resources.

Excretion of SARS-CoV-2 in breast milk: a single-centre observational study.

Background: Breast feeding by SARS-CoV-2-infected mothers has been a concern because of the possibility of excretion of virus in breast milk. Objective: To detect SARS-CoV-2 in expressed breast milk (EBM) of mothers infected with SARS-CoV-2 and clinical outcome of neonates delivered and breast fed by them. Design: A single-centre, prospective observational study involving 50 SARS-CoV-2-infected mothers and their 51 neonates. Setting: A tertiary care hospital in Eastern India. Participants: SARS-CoV-2-infected mothers and neonates delivered by them. Main outcome measures: We investigated the presence of SARS-CoV-2 in the breast milk of mothers, who tested positive for this virus in their nasopharyngeal swab (NPS). Clinical outcome was assessed in neonates breast fed by these mothers after 1 month of the postnatal period. Results: 50 SARS-CoV-2-positive expectant mothers were enrolled for the study. One out of 51 neonates, who delivered through lower segment caesarean section at term gestation and tested SARS-CoV-2 negative, died due to severe birth asphyxia. One sample of EBM was collected from each of the 49 mothers within 4 days of delivery. All EBM samples tested negative for SARS-CoV-2 through real-time reverse transcriptase-PCR (RT-PCR). All the newborns were screened twice for presence of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in their NPS, by RT-PCR. 2 of 51 neonates had COVID-19 infection after 24 hours of life. Caregivers of 37 of 50 alive neonates responded to follow-up via telephone. Except for minor feed intolerance in one (1 of 37) neonate, all neonates were reported well after 1 month of their age. Conclusion: All the samples of breast milk were negative for SARS-CoV-2. Most of the neonates remained asymptomatic on breast feeding, whose mothers had SARS-CoV-2 infection before delivery.